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Red62
246116.5
449019.2
393130.0
Blue65
517811.1
233833.7
606813.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52592040801006265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#14
30.00.6
20.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End4.3
blue by 3.7
2338
#11
33.70.9
29.130.0
Auto7.7
Teleop22.8
End3.1
Second
4490
#43
19.20.6
14.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 6.2
6068
#46
13.00.9
14.115.0
Auto1.3
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
2461
#47
16.50.6
15.716.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 5.4
5178
#38
11.10.9
13.314.3
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed