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Red50
239514.2
515318.4
233833.7
Blue25
396110.3
409014.8
316023.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714502060801001205025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#11
33.71.6
30.028.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.8
End3.1
red by 10.1
3160
#17
23.53.0
19.116.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End7.5
Second
5153
#27
18.41.6
20.018.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
red by 3.6
4090
#30
14.83.0
12.99.8
Auto2.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
2395
#34
14.21.6
14.613.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 4.0
3961
#41
10.33.0
15.312.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed