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Red47
613117.0
70416.4
472112.4
Blue83
350732.2
93223.2
572920.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455602040801004783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6131
#44
17.00.4
11.411.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
blue by 15.2
3507
#13
32.23.3
19.823.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End3.9
Second
704
#48
16.40.4
20.620.2
Auto1.1
Teleop13.0
End2.3
blue by 6.8
932
#26
23.23.3
19.823.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End2.7
Third
4721
#24
12.40.4
13.713.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 8.0
5729
#37
20.43.3
13.516.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed