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Qual 282016 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red50
500216.8
233324.1
346817.4
Blue49
517811.1
239514.2
70416.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801001205049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#31
24.11.5
18.2→16.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 7.7
704
#48
16.40.0
20.2→20.2
Auto1.1
Teleop13.0
End2.3
Second
3468
#20
17.41.5
21.6→20.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 3.1
2395
#34
14.20.0
13.0→12.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
5002
#12
16.81.5
18.5→17.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End3.9
red by 5.7
5178
#38
11.10.0
11.2→11.1
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed