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Red57
350732.2
396110.3
246116.5
Blue89
433520.4
556823.8
3419.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001205789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#13
32.20.6
23.223.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End3.9
red by 8.4
5568
#22
23.83.7
16.620.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Second
2461
#47
16.50.6
16.617.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End0.4
blue by 3.9
4335
#33
20.43.7
12.316.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
3961
#41
10.30.6
12.212.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 9.3
34
#40
19.63.7
16.720.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed