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Red85
409014.8
545429.4
393744.2
Blue105
331043.3
543731.0
572920.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726840608010085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.7
33.034.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 0.9
43.34.2
27.431.6
Auto14.5
Teleop21.2
End7.6
Second
29.41.7
26.928.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.4
End5.9
blue by 1.5
5437
#19
31.04.2
22.827.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Third
4090
#30
14.81.7
9.811.5
Auto2.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 5.6
5729
#37
20.44.2
16.821.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed