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Red49
3419.6
500216.8
283016.9
Blue59
303928.0
235922.5
409014.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636002040801001204959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
#40
19.61.3
22.521.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.1
End4.4
blue by 8.3
28.00.0
24.124.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Second
2830
#32
16.91.3
20.018.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 5.6
2359
#10
22.50.0
18.918.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Third
5002
#12
16.81.3
18.417.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End3.9
red by 2.0
4090
#30
14.80.0
15.815.8
Auto2.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed