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Red54
449019.2
572920.4
556823.8
Blue83
543731.0
605520.9
359328.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5272204060801001205483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5568
#22
23.80.0
20.120.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End3.2
blue by 7.2
5437
#19
31.01.8
24.426.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Second
5729
#37
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
blue by 7.6
28.01.8
25.227.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End6.6
Third
4490
#43
19.20.0
13.113.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.3
blue by 1.8
6055
#25
20.91.8
17.219.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed