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Red69
605520.9
409014.8
207726.9
Blue79
361224.1
238823.7
233833.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57882040801001201406979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2077
#15DQ
26.90.8
27.228.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 6.8
2338
#11DQ
33.70.2
32.932.7
Auto7.7
Teleop22.8
End3.1
Second
6055
#25
20.90.9
19.019.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 3.1
3612
#35
24.10.2
24.324.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Third
4090
#30DQ
14.80.8
14.014.8
Auto2.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 8.9
2388
#28DQ
23.70.2
23.923.7
Auto2.6
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed