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Red84
53718.8
393744.2
70416.4
Blue79
457620.3
3419.6
359328.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84662040601001208479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#3DQ
44.20.0
43.843.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 16.2
3593
#5DQ
28.01.2
28.930.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End6.6
Second
537
#45DQ
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 1.5
4576
#39DQ
20.31.2
18.819.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Third
704
#48DQ
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto1.1
Teleop13.0
End2.3
blue by 3.3
34
#40DQ
19.61.2
19.320.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed