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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Australia Regional
Red107
461332.8
313231.8
603522.6
Blue64
605022.0
559327.5
557321.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11185406010012014010764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
32.80.0
32.3→32.3
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 5.3
5593
#12
27.50.2
27.3→27.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
3132
#1
31.80.0
31.3→31.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End4.6
red by 9.8
6050
#14
22.00.2
21.8→21.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
6035
#15
22.60.0
22.0→22.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 1.5
5573
#13
21.10.2
21.0→20.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End4.3