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Red85
605022.0
566323.9
589318.1
Blue75
606222.1
598817.9
461332.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52772040601001208575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.5
18.921.3
Auto10.5
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 8.9
32.80.3
32.032.3
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
6050
#14
22.02.3
19.621.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 0.1
6062
#19
22.10.3
21.822.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Third
5893
#36
18.12.1
16.118.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 0.2
5988
#26
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed