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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Australia Regional
Red115
461332.8
313231.8
603522.6
Blue106
605022.0
559327.5
557321.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111844060100120140115106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.2
32.332.5
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 5.3
5593
#12
27.50.3
27.227.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
31.80.2
31.331.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End4.6
red by 9.8
6050
#14
22.00.3
21.722.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
6035
#15
22.60.3
22.122.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 1.5
5573
#13
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End4.3