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Red95
461332.8
313231.8
603522.6
Blue91
472921.5
533125.6
600717.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11573204060801001401609591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.3
32.832.5
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 7.2
25.60.2
25.425.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.4
Second
31.80.3
31.731.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End4.6
red by 10.3
21.50.2
21.321.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Third
6035
#15
22.60.3
22.622.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 5.2
6007
#41
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End2.1