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Qual 42016 Australia Regional
Red54
603522.6
611818.1
621214.2
Blue35
45298.2
508719.5
589318.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50492030406070805435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6035
#15
22.613.3
28.6→15.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 3.1
5087
#23
19.52.2
17.9→15.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Second
6118
#16
18.12.8
18.1→15.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Level
5893
#36
18.14.7
18.1→13.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Third
6212
#32
14.21.1
14.2→15.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 6.0
4529
#42
8.22.2
16.5→14.3
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed