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Red55
477415.6
566323.9
425320.9
Blue67
559327.5
558420.0
472921.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575756586062645567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.6
14.313.7
Auto10.5
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 3.6
5593
#12
27.50.8
17.518.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
4253
#34
20.90.6
22.922.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.2
End3.5
blue by 0.6
21.50.8
16.317.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Third
4774
#28
15.60.6
18.117.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 4.4
5584
#24
20.00.8
21.422.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed