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Red72
560614.9
598527.0
313231.8
Blue30
480119.0
564812.3
618718.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6544020801007230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
28.429.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End4.6
red by 12.8
4801
#22
19.02.8
15.112.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Second
27.010.5
27.016.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 8.4
18.65.8
18.612.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
5606
#33
14.91.6
14.916.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 2.6
5648
#38
12.32.8
14.912.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed