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Red112
12531.6
212238.3
49830.5
Blue93
84235.1
418334.5
19223.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130114608010012014016018011293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
38.538.3
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 3.2
842
#19
35.10.2
36.035.8
Auto8.9
Teleop21.8
End4.3
Second
125
#4
31.60.2
31.831.6
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End4.0
blue by 3.0
34.50.2
35.435.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End5.3
Third
498
#14
30.50.2
30.730.5
Auto11.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
red by 7.2
192
#20
23.30.2
24.123.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.4