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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Arizona North Regional
Red103
161937.9
449930.9
300925.0
Blue109
248637.0
149226.5
141027.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118114050150200250300350103109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#5
37.90.3
38.3→37.9
Auto14.4
Teleop17.1
End6.3
red by 1.0
2486
#11
37.00.2
37.4→37.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
4499
#3
30.90.4
31.3→30.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End6.9
red by 3.5
1410
#21
27.50.2
27.9→27.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
3009
#29
25.00.3
25.3→25.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End7.8
blue by 1.5
1492
#8
26.50.2
27.1→26.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End4.6