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Red21
265716.3
99117.3
357717.3
Blue76
456519.6
12531.6
149226.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527702040601001202176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#46
17.33.7
15.111.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 14.2
125
#4
31.60.3
27.127.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End4.0
Second
3577
#41
17.33.7
23.319.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.3
blue by 9.2
26.50.4
22.923.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
2657
#45
16.33.7
16.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End-0.7
blue by 3.3
4565
#35
19.60.4
17.217.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed