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Red104
84235.1
366921.3
84632.1
Blue74
359830.6
240325.5
141027.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6776020406010012014010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#19
35.14.2
22.726.9
Auto8.9
Teleop21.8
End4.3
red by 4.4
3598
#22
30.60.3
23.423.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Second
846
#26
32.14.2
26.430.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End5.5
red by 4.6
1410
#21
27.50.3
26.225.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
3669
#32
21.34.2
17.321.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 4.2
2403
#15
25.50.3
22.422.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed