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Red80
66226.5
26922.4
182820.1
Blue76
561324.1
456519.6
449930.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67762040601001208076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#12
26.50.3
26.126.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End4.1
blue by 4.4
30.90.3
31.431.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End6.9
Second
269
#17
22.40.3
22.723.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.8
blue by 1.7
5613
#30
24.10.3
24.224.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End3.9
Third
1828
#36
20.10.3
18.318.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End2.7
red by 0.6
4565
#35
19.60.3
17.617.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed