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Red62
325624.1
19223.3
378523.0
Blue54
498523.9
366921.3
237516.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61610501001502006254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#42
24.10.3
20.220.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End4.7
red by 0.2
4985
#37
23.90.5
19.519.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Second
192
#20
23.30.3
18.718.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.4
red by 2.0
3669
#32
21.30.5
21.521.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
3785
#31
23.00.3
20.520.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 6.9
2375
#49
16.10.5
17.717.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed