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Red78
6019.3
101132.7
299632.1
Blue91
149226.5
265716.3
141027.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926002040801001201407891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.6
32.231.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End6.2
red by 5.2
1410
#21
27.52.7
26.529.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Second
2996
#24
32.10.6
31.330.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.7
End4.1
red by 5.5
26.53.1
23.426.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
60
#39
19.30.7
21.220.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.9
End3.0
red by 3.0
2657
#45
16.32.7
12.915.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed