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Red110
12531.6
359830.6
133926.8
Blue89
240325.5
26922.4
212238.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8187406010012014011089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#4
31.61.9
28.029.9
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End4.0
blue by 6.7
38.30.0
38.138.1
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
3598
#22
30.62.8
24.727.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.4
End4.9
red by 5.2
2403
#15
25.50.0
23.223.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
1339
#27
26.82.8
23.626.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.1
red by 4.4
269
#17
22.40.0
23.022.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed