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Red83
249331.1
456519.6
366921.3
Blue97
415327.1
347018.4
101132.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71764060801001208397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.7
30.831.5
Auto12.4
Teleop12.8
End5.8
blue by 1.6
32.72.1
31.633.7
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End6.2
Second
3669
#32
21.30.7
20.621.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 5.8
4153
#16
27.12.1
25.427.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End4.6
Third
4565
#35
19.60.7
18.819.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 1.2
3470
#38
18.42.1
16.318.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned