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Red77
438821.8
133926.8
414624.4
Blue83
149226.5
318722.6
182820.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74702040601001201401607783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#27
26.80.5
26.326.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.1
red by 0.3
26.50.4
26.927.3
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Second
4146
#25
24.40.5
23.824.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End5.7
red by 1.8
3187
#33
22.60.4
22.322.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
4388
#34
21.80.5
21.321.8
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 1.7
1828
#36
20.10.4
19.720.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed