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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Arizona West Regional
Red94
456526.1
332127.9
301925.7
Blue165
49836.2
119737.0
99122.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86109406010012014016094165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3321
#5
27.90.1
23.0→23.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End3.5
blue by 9.0
1197
#8
37.00.7
29.8→30.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End4.0
Second
4565
#10
26.10.1
25.3→25.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 10.2
498
#11
36.20.7
36.6→37.4
Auto9.8
Teleop21.8
End4.6
Third
3019
#22
25.70.1
23.2→23.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 3.0
991
#32
22.60.7
21.0→21.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1