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Red180
153845.1
418338.4
414627.9
Blue103
247825.4
240331.2
244927.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408950100200180103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.3
45.145.4
Auto8.1
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 13.9
31.20.1
30.930.8
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
38.40.3
38.438.7
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
red by 11.3
2449
#21
27.10.1
26.826.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Third
4146
#33
27.90.3
27.928.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.5
red by 2.5
2478
#16
25.40.1
25.125.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7