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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Arizona West Regional
Red206
153845.1
418338.4
414627.9
Blue102
121225.6
547523.2
394436.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12991406080100120140160180200206102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#6
45.10.9
41.8→42.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 8.6
3944
#15
36.50.2
31.8→32.0
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End6.6
Second
4183
#3
38.40.9
36.5→37.4
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
red by 12.7
1212
#23
25.60.1
22.6→22.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
4146
#33
27.90.9
25.6→26.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.5
red by 4.7
5475
#12
23.20.1
22.7→22.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2