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Red160
153845.1
418338.4
414627.9
Blue130
247825.4
240331.2
244927.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428950100200160130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.5
45.445.9
Auto8.1
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 13.9
31.20.4
30.831.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
38.40.5
38.739.2
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
red by 11.3
2449
#21
27.10.4
26.727.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Third
4146
#33
27.90.5
28.228.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.5
red by 2.5
2478
#16
25.40.4
25.025.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7