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Red49
237521.9
385324.3
520017.5
Blue73
416019.8
284417.3
98759.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439701504973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3853
#18
24.30.1
17.016.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 35.4
987
#1
59.60.9
55.254.3
Auto16.4
Teleop35.6
End7.6
Second
2375
#26
21.90.1
16.116.0
Auto9.1
Teleop10.1
End2.6
red by 2.1
4160
#37
19.81.2
14.613.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Third
5200
#40
17.50.1
16.516.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End1.7
red by 0.2
2844
#34
17.31.5
16.414.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed