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Red75
247825.4
401822.9
313327.7
Blue60
129017.8
149219.8
510117.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4267020801001201407560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3133
#31
27.73.4
17.020.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 7.9
1492
#36
19.80.6
26.526.0
Auto2.8
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Second
2478
#16
25.42.0
12.614.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7
red by 7.6
1290
#27
17.80.7
18.417.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
4018
#25
22.93.4
14.818.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.1
red by 5.9
5101
#30
17.00.7
16.415.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed