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Red59
546525.1
484119.7
505922.9
Blue75
385324.3
332127.9
240331.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525901001502005975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5465
#20
25.10.9
22.123.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 6.1
31.21.2
25.827.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
5059
#38
22.90.9
15.316.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End4.8
blue by 5.1
27.92.1
12.514.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Third
4841
#19
19.70.6
13.714.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 4.5
3853
#18
24.32.1
18.120.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
13%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed