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Red60
304815.2
416019.8
99122.6
Blue69
264724.1
313327.7
121225.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427102060801001201406069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#32
22.60.7
18.419.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1
blue by 5.1
3133
#31
27.70.5
21.321.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Second
4160
#37
19.80.7
14.315.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 5.9
1212
#23
25.60.5
19.119.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
3048
#41
15.21.1
12.613.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 8.9
2647
#14
24.10.3
23.924.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed