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Qual 212016 Arizona West Regional
Red64
246842.8
163311.0
411114.6
Blue0
244927.1
149219.8
284417.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80500204060100120140640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#2
42.80.6
46.3→45.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.2
red by 15.7
2449
#21
27.15.9
16.6→10.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
4111
#29
14.61.1
16.0→14.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 5.2
1492
#36
19.83.9
24.7→20.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Third
1633
#43
11.01.1
11.4→10.3
Auto1.4
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 6.3
2844
#34
17.35.9
11.9→6.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed