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Red52
284016.2
553916.3
394436.5
Blue104
119737.0
237521.9
505922.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5566020408010012052104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#15
36.50.4
24.524.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End6.6
blue by 0.5
37.01.8
28.430.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End4.0
Second
5539
#39
16.30.4
14.914.5
Auto0.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 6.6
5059
#38
22.93.0
16.219.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Third
2840
#42
16.20.4
15.815.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 5.6
2375
#26
21.91.8
17.719.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed