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Red105
418338.4
240331.2
266223.4
Blue65
301925.7
99122.6
401822.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9156020408010012014016010565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.1
36.938.1
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
red by 12.7
3019
#22
25.70.4
20.921.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Second
31.21.1
25.826.9
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 8.3
4018
#25
22.90.6
19.820.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
2662
#13
23.41.8
20.622.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End4.1
red by 0.8
991
#32
22.60.4
18.919.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed