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Red80
284016.2
49836.2
416019.8
Blue104
547523.2
172624.6
510117.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863204010012014016080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#11
36.20.4
37.437.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.8
End4.6
red by 11.6
1726
#17
24.60.7
24.325.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Second
4160
#37
19.80.4
19.219.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 3.5
5475
#12
23.20.9
22.523.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Third
2840
#42
16.20.5
16.917.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 0.8
5101
#30
17.01.0
16.517.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed