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Red115
385324.3
119737.0
394436.5
Blue109
418338.4
246842.8
149219.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95112406080120140160180115109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.4
34.135.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End4.0
blue by 5.8
42.80.2
46.546.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.2
Second
3944
#15
36.51.7
35.537.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End6.6
blue by 1.9
38.40.2
38.938.8
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
Third
3853
#18
24.31.7
24.826.5
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 4.4
1492
#36
19.80.2
21.120.9
Auto2.8
Teleop13.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned