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Quarterfinal 1-22016 BattleCry 17
Red222
279137.6
19568.9
50125.5
Blue191
112446.9
18135.5
346134.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16515150100200250300222191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 22.1
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 2.1
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 8.6
3461
Unranked
34.10.0
34.1→34.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3