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Semifinal 1-22016 BattleCry 17
Red212
279137.6
19568.9
50125.5
Blue201
456450.6
264839.2
417632.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163164100150200250212201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 18.3
4564
Unranked
50.60.0
50.6→50.6
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 1.6
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.2→39.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 6.7
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8