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Red154
226228.4
50125.5
19568.9
Blue123
17331.3
581346.0
234221.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13397050150200250154123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 22.9
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
blue by 2.9
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 4.1
2342
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds15%Capture odds