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Red106
112446.9
431123.4
216844.0
Blue114
279137.6
287631.5
555631.2
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120100050150200250106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 9.2
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
2168
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
red by 12.6
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 7.8
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds3%Capture odds