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Qual 102016 BattleCry 17
Red100
331447.7
455730.4
112446.9
Blue88
22836.7
18135.5
19030.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331015015020025010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.7→47.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 10.9
228
Unranked
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 11.3
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
4557
Unranked
30.40.0
30.4→30.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
blue by 0.4
190
Unranked
30.80.0
30.8→30.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
33%Capture odds66%Capture odds