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Red123
287631.5
512232.2
50125.5
Blue101
88530.1
456450.6
346134.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87124050100150200123101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 18.4
4564
Unranked
50.60.0
50.650.6
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
Second
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 2.7
3461
Unranked
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
blue by 4.6
885
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds33%Capture odds