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Red75
395820.8
107320.2
207926.3
Blue192
19568.9
83933.7
17543.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52168010015020025030075192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
blue by 42.6
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 22.9
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Third
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 13.6
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds92%Capture odds