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Qual 192016 BattleCry 17
Red99
226228.4
173531.6
13137.9
Blue121
110031.1
287737.1
431123.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102932040608012014016099121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.9→37.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 0.7
2877
Unranked
37.10.0
37.1→37.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.6→31.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
red by 0.5
1100
Unranked
31.10.0
31.1→31.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Third
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.4→28.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 5.0
4311
Unranked
23.40.0
23.4→23.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds8%Capture odds