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Qual 202016 BattleCry 17
Red110
147417.3
19568.9
404842.1
Blue132
18135.5
23841.0
17543.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312250100150200110132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 25.3
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.7→43.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 1.1
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.0→41.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
1474
Unranked
17.30.0
17.3→17.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 18.2
181
Unranked
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
42%Capture odds87%Capture odds