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Red60
15730.7
234221.4
395820.8
Blue144
17331.3
346738.6
31942.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6812505010015020060144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
blue by 11.5
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
2342
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
blue by 17.2
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 10.5
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds51%Capture odds